June 28, 2010

Bold, if not Controversial, Predictions

Prediction #1 – The three-year-old male division remains undecided until the Eclipse Awards announcement in January. In the end, the winner of the race with the strongest field of the season, takes home the hardware. The race is the August 28 Travers, and the winner is Exhi.

Prediction #2Rachel Alexandra will hustle out on the track and into the starting gate at the last second, before easily winning Saratoga‘s Ruffian Stakes. When her connections were asked why she almost missed the race, they explained that Jess Jackson had not decided where she would run until three minutes before post time.

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LDP said...

LAL and FD could improve this year and still make things very intereting when the Travers rolls around. Exhi did look very impressive, but I have to wonder is it him loving synthetics, him getting better, or a combo of both. If it's option A or C, then I think LAL or FD may prove the best, if it's option B, and he is the same horse on dirt, then lord have mercy.

I like Devil May Care too, and feel she may be the best this year.

Zen will get that record if she stays west, running replays of the last two years. I think she still could if she were to run against RT in the Gold Cup, but I think it would make things more intersting.

Personally I hope you are wrong about RA and Zen meeting in the LC, I would much rather the Classic. However if not then I think RA wins.

I think a Classic w/o RA or Zen could go many ways. IWR, if he returns to form, could really make an impact, MTB at CD must be respected as does Blame. QR stands above all, it's just the question of distnace with him, and I think he can get 10 furlongs much more effectively on a nice dry track.

Brian Zipse said...

Is FD, First Dude or Fly Down??? LOL

Anonymous said...

I HIGHLY disagree that Zenyatta would loose to Rachel Alexandra and i disagree that that they both wouldn't run in the BC classic because of Quality Road. But otherwise a good article.

gamesgreyhound said...

At Anonymous

Bold and Controversial is the title.

Let's not turn this into a Rachel vs Zenyatta mudslinger. You get enough of those elsewhere.

gamesgreyhound said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
LDP said...

First Dude, sorry.

Brian Zipse said...

But Fly Down has beaten First Dude in all three of their meetings.

Anonymous said...

I think Lookin At Lucky remains the leader of the 3-year-old males, but the best threats to him look like Afleet Express, Concord Point, Exhi and First Dude.
Devil May Care is a very good filly but Blink Luck looks better to me still. She has a bad habit of winning by a nose or slightly more at the wire, which isn't always the safest way, but I just think she is the more talented at this point.
The Whitney could be an amazing line-up if all four of those older males come, but I think I'd go against Quality Road if that was the case. We'll obviously have to see how I Want Revenge and Mine that Bird come back in their races, but I would probably choose one of them over him if they won their prep.
I don't think Zenyatta will be ducking anyone in the Breeders' Cup Classic, unless maybe she comes east and losses a dirt prep. Lookin At Lucky would be my "up-set" choice at this point, but if Rachel Alexandra enters the Classic I think she will win.
Do you think the Mosses will send Zenyatta east this year before the Breeders' Cup for a dirt prep?

LDP said...

I still like the Dude, I think he will just keep improving as the year goes on.

Brian Zipse said...

I would like to think so Railrunner, but I am beginning to think no, the Moss's will not get Zen a dirt prep.

Silent Sunday said...

You know where I stand on the 3 yo filly...lol. We've had that discussion. Blind Luck champion 3 yo filly!!